Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NE +260 HOF -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +14 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -9.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -9.9 (-4.1) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -8.0 (-6.0) | 144.2 (+5.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -8.5 (-5.5) | 143.0 (+7.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -9.8 (-4.2) | 144.2 (+5.8) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | NE 71 – 68 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#269) | 5.2 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#300) | 0.61 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#283) | 0.85 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#289) | 0.555 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.