Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -192 DREX +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -2.3 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -1.1 (+19.9) | 138.1 (+2.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -1.1 (+19.9) | 137.5 (+3.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -1.3 (+19.7) | 138.6 (+2.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.3 (+20.7) | 137.0 (+4.0) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | DREX 65 – 60 CAM |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CAM 57 – 54 DREX |
| Feb 17, 2024 | DREX 81 – 66 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#221) | -2.9 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#201) | -0.62 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#202) | -0.70 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#189) | 0.471 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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