Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -118 FGCU -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -0.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -0.2 (+2.2) | 155.8 (-5.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -0.9 (+1.1) | 154.7 (-4.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -0.1 (+2.1) | 152.4 (-2.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -0.3 (+2.3) | 155.0 (-5.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2025 | EKU 92 – 74 FGCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | EKU 81 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EKU 90 – 82 FGCU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | EKU 97 – 76 FGCU |
| Jan 27, 2022 | FGCU 77 – 73 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.1 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#267) | -3.8 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#301) | -1.06 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#295) | -1.04 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#286) | 0.459 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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