Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -275 EKU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +18 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -7.7 (-25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -5.0 (-23.0) | 145.1 (+20.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -6.2 (-24.2) | 146.4 (+19.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -5.6 (-23.6) | 146.8 (+19.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -5.8 (-23.8) | 145.1 (+20.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EKU 76 – 74 FGCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | EKU 81 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EKU 90 – 82 FGCU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | EKU 97 – 76 FGCU |
| Jan 27, 2022 | FGCU 77 – 73 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#146) | -3.4 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#171) | -0.43 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#171) | -0.31 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#175) | 0.480 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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