Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | EKU +115 FGCU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -2.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -2.3 (+6.3) | 143.5 (+14.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.1 (+5.1) | 140.7 (+17.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -2.5 (+6.5) | 141.6 (+16.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.6 (+6.6) | 143.2 (+14.8) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EKU 76 – 74 FGCU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EKU 92 – 74 FGCU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EKU 90 – 82 FGCU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | EKU 97 – 76 FGCU |
| Jan 27, 2022 | FGCU 77 – 73 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#246) | 0.8 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#264) | 0.01 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#242) | -0.08 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#273) | 0.506 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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