Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -300 FGCU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +8 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -5.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -3.9 (+4.1) | 144.0 (+28.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -5.2 (+2.8) | 142.9 (+29.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -4.2 (+3.8) | 143.3 (+28.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -4.3 (+3.7) | 143.2 (+28.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EKU 76 – 74 FGCU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EKU 92 – 74 FGCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | EKU 81 – 77 FGCU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | EKU 97 – 76 FGCU |
| Jan 27, 2022 | FGCU 77 – 73 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#221) | -4.9 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#204) | -0.96 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#218) | -1.10 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#191) | 0.446 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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