Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -4.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -2.9 (+1.1) | 153.9 (-3.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -3.6 (+0.4) | 152.4 (-2.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -3.6 (+0.4) | 152.5 (-2.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.3 (-0.3) | 154.6 (-4.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EKU 76 – 74 FGCU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EKU 92 – 74 FGCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | EKU 81 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EKU 90 – 82 FGCU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | EKU 97 – 76 FGCU |
Game Analysis
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