Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | EKU +120 FGCU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +21 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -3.8 (+24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -2.8 (+23.8) | 143.2 (+29.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -3.4 (+24.4) | 145.4 (+27.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -3.4 (+24.4) | 145.4 (+27.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -3.9 (+24.9) | 144.4 (+28.6) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EKU 76 – 74 FGCU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EKU 92 – 74 FGCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | EKU 81 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EKU 90 – 82 FGCU |
| Jan 27, 2022 | FGCU 77 – 73 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#234) | 4.5 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#165) | 1.59 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#209) | 2.22 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#134) | 0.585 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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