Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Atlantic Sun Conference · Baptist Health Arena · January 13, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread FGCU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money EKU +120 / FGCU -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total EKU win
Actual EKU +21 173 Won
Massey FGCU -3.8 (+24.8) — —
Massey Totals — 143.4 (+29.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 32% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 14% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FGCU -3.9 (+24.9) 144.4 (+28.6) 39% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FGCU -2.8 (+23.8) 143.2 (+29.8) 46% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FGCU -3.4 (+24.4) 145.4 (+27.6) 35% ✗
Baseline ML FGCU -3.4 (+24.4) 145.4 (+27.6) 40% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 EKU 76 – 74 FGCU
Feb 7, 2025 EKU 92 – 74 FGCU
Jan 25, 2025 EKU 81 – 77 FGCU
Feb 8, 2024 EKU 90 – 82 FGCU
Jan 27, 2022 FGCU 77 – 73 EKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EKU FGCU
Overall 23-14 17-15
Conference 12-6 7-11
Home 14-2 8-5
Away 5-10 6-9
Neutral 4-2 3-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 70.2
Avg Pts Against 73.7 69.7
Massey -3.3 (#234) 4.5 (#99)
Bradley-Terry 0.16 (#165) 1.59 (#58)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.40 (#209) 2.22 (#51)
RPI 0.525 (#134) 0.585 (#46)
Shooting & Four Factors EKU FGCU
FG% 40.2% 43.7%
3PT% 34.9% 35.1%
REB / G 37.8 36.4
OREB / G 12.7 10.6
AST / TO 0.87 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.6% 51.4%
TOV% 19.3% 19.0%
ORB% 31.3% 30.7%
FT Rate 16.0% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 17.9%
DRB% 68.6% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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