You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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87–41 on winners spread MAE 9.7 128 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ Xavier +1.2 141.4 60% 68–74 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee -6.6 143.3 23% 57–60 ✗
Oakland @ Robert Morris -8.1 146.6 24% 71–68 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +0.8 139.1 54% 69–82 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +8.9 132.0 80% 58–49 ✗
Monmouth @ Manhattan -6.1 140.4 33% 75–65 ✓
Kent State @ Akron +2.7 130.9 55% 66–64 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -6.7 129.1 20% 71–62 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +11.6 146.7 86% 85–72 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis +7.4 140.7 76% 68–61 ✗
Iona @ Siena -8.0 140.1 23% 64–70 ✗
Fresno State @ Colorado State +3.9 129.0 75% 50–65 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +9.0 130.9 81% 63–69 ✓
Texas A&M @ Auburn +12.0 147.9 86% 58–75 ✓
Texas @ Baylor +7.0 127.2 82% 63–80 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh +2.0 139.9 53% 73–69 ✗
Creighton @ Georgetown -3.5 141.4 28% 80–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Massachusetts +1.8 151.9 66% 67–69 ✓
Arkansas @ Alabama +4.8 158.8 69% 67–68 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas +10.4 140.8 85% 69–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +9.1 138.0 85% 67–73 ✓
American University @ Boston University +10.9 134.3 85% 67–85 ✓
Merrimack @ Wagner +14.1 128.6 82% 80–65 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Fairleigh Dickinson -1.3 145.9 42% 75–82 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Central Connecticut -1.4 133.6 34% 67–50 ✓
Illinois State @ Indiana State +1.1 149.8 65% 57–60 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +1.6 130.5 56% 53–73 ✓
Navy @ Army -4.5 127.5 28% 52–49 ✓
Rutgers @ Wisconsin +8.9 131.7 79% 73–65 ✗
Holy Cross @ Bucknell +2.9 144.9 58% 78–72 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Morgan State -1.1 145.0 51% 74–64 ✓
Temple @ Tulane +3.4 138.4 66% 83–92 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +11.6 136.7 88% 70–72 ✓
Bryant @ Long Island University -0.3 160.9 54% 88–99 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb +14.9 137.4 88% 65–82 ✓
Florida State @ North Carolina +7.4 148.7 79% 74–94 ✓
Yale @ Columbia -11.0 145.0 16% 84–59 ✓
Harvard @ Pennsylvania +2.4 142.4 62% 74–82 ✓
Brown @ Cornell +2.7 146.1 58% 81–80 ✗
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -0.4 133.4 42% 69–60 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State +3.5 138.9 68% 58–81 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +5.5 127.3 69% 58–79 ✓
George Washington @ Dayton +15.9 133.0 88% 54–80 ✓
Davidson @ Rhode Island -1.6 133.1 47% 65–72 ✗
Chattanooga @ Furman +2.9 138.8 64% 64–58 ✗
Northeastern @ Drexel +7.0 133.1 77% 51–67 ✓
Elon @ Towson +10.0 126.8 84% 50–86 ✓
Ball State @ Buffalo +11.5 154.4 85% 74–80 ✓
South Carolina @ Georgia -2.9 146.9 35% 80–68 ✓
North Texas @ Rice -5.4 131.3 21% 67–44 ✓
Sam Houston @ Chicago State -9.5 132.1 21% 72–59 ✓
Miami @ Wake Forest +5.0 149.5 71% 76–72 ✗
NC State @ Pittsburgh +0.0 135.0 53% 69–71 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +17.5 128.9 90% 45–83 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -4.2 130.9 30% 63–54 ✓
UT Arlington @ Louisiana +5.0 137.8 66% 80–77 ✗
North Dakota @ Western Illinois +10.0 155.8 83% 68–70 ✓
Memphis @ Houston +12.3 139.7 85% 69–59 ✗
Indiana @ Michigan State +4.6 134.7 74% 61–76 ✓
The Citadel @ VMI +8.2 162.3 77% 83–79 ✗
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +1.1 153.1 60% 78–94 ✓
Ohio @ Eastern Michigan -10.4 145.8 17% 74–56 ✓
Florida @ Kentucky +11.2 142.7 85% 57–78 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +10.2 131.4 83% 69–82 ✓
Murray State @ Morehead State -2.8 133.5 36% 57–53 ✓
California @ Oregon +11.5 135.1 85% 78–64 ✗
South Carolina State @ Coppin State +3.6 147.4 63% 66–58 ✗
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego -3.4 132.9 36% 62–85 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State +6.7 131.4 72% 71–63 ✗
Delaware State @ Howard +16.0 142.4 90% 72–85 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTSA -8.8 145.2 17% 71–65 ✓
Southern Utah @ Sacramento State -7.8 141.2 21% 83–57 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah Valley +0.5 135.0 51% 68–72 ✓
Lamar @ Seattle U +14.2 140.6 88% 50–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis -2.6 130.9 36% 54–52 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate +0.2 146.1 48% 83–56 ✗
Longwood @ North Carolina A&T -3.9 137.9 36% 62–70 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Virginia +8.5 122.9 82% 53–63 ✓
Dartmouth @ Princeton +5.7 141.6 74% 40–85 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +6.5 149.1 75% 82–89 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +3.8 129.0 63% 75–69 ✗
Georgia State @ App State +4.1 132.9 63% 58–49 ✗
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +12.8 140.3 88% 66–84 ✓
VCU @ George Mason +1.1 134.8 49% 85–70 ✗
South Dakota @ Denver -2.0 144.7 37% 84–76 ✓
Samford @ East Tennessee State +5.4 146.6 71% 77–73 ✗
William & Mary @ James Madison +10.4 145.8 85% 55–69 ✓
Marquette @ Butler -4.6 136.6 35% 79–85 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ SIU Edwardsville +0.5 141.9 60% 60–61 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Illinois -5.4 130.7 33% 70–82 ✗
Grambling @ Texas Southern +11.6 137.9 86% 65–68 ✓
McNeese @ Northwestern State +0.4 154.0 48% 80–75 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +6.7 146.7 76% 80–83 ✓
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +10.9 137.8 84% 61–65 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama -3.7 131.7 33% 75–69 ✓
Duke @ Boston College -11.2 135.6 19% 72–61 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +8.6 138.3 77% 92–94 ✓
Colgate @ Loyola Maryland -4.2 135.7 27% 64–56 ✓
Belmont @ Southeast Missouri State -11.9 152.1 14% 81–72 ✓
Tennessee State @ Austin Peay +4.6 131.1 72% 52–54 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho -9.7 155.3 21% 79–83 ✗
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +12.4 140.8 87% 72–75 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +7.7 151.8 80% 84–89 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans +10.9 145.4 87% 57–84 ✓
UMBC @ UMass Lowell +0.3 140.7 47% 71–88 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Lipscomb +0.5 161.4 50% 73–83 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville State +14.8 152.3 86% 72–62 ✗
Little Rock @ Troy +10.0 138.9 83% 66–62 ✗
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -13.2 148.8 14% 100–72 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +21.9 160.8 91% 61–82 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +9.3 142.7 75% 75–70 ✗
Radford @ Hampton -2.3 129.0 35% 60–54 ✓
North Florida @ Kennesaw State +4.5 146.4 62% 74–72 ✗
Fordham @ Duquesne +1.7 135.3 56% 65–54 ✗
Arizona @ Washington -13.9 155.3 18% 92–68 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +1.9 139.0 62% 68–57 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee +12.5 137.4 87% 64–73 ✓
SMU @ East Carolina -6.4 144.8 30% 80–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +7.7 138.2 78% 63–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara -0.5 152.0 51% 74–58 ✓
Campbell @ High Point -0.1 133.2 43% 60–42 ✓
Syracuse @ Virginia Tech +6.0 143.2 73% 59–71 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville -3.5 129.4 40% 69–73 ✗
La Salle @ Richmond +12.6 144.6 86% 63–77 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +7.3 139.9 80% 73–76 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M -2.1 148.5 47% 77–84 ✗
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +2.2 125.9 53% 56–60 ✓
Hofstra @ Delaware -0.6 144.3 43% 80–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.