Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -4.0 Push |
| O/U | 121.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -180 FAMU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -4.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -2.2 (+1.8) | 125.9 (-9.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -1.6 (+2.4) | 126.9 (-10.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -2.5 (+1.5) | 126.1 (-10.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -2.1 (+1.9) | 127.6 (-11.6) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-15 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#288) | -8.7 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#312) | -1.30 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#318) | -2.03 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#308) | 0.442 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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