Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -305 JKST +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -10.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -9.1 (-10.1) | 141.0 (-10.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -7.0 (-8.0) | 142.3 (-11.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -9.0 (-10.0) | 141.7 (-10.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -10.4 (-11.4) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | FAMU 72 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#321) | -18.0 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#241) | -1.51 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#250) | -2.20 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#256) | 0.442 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 60.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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