Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -278 JKST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -5.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -3.3 (+6.7) | 142.5 (-12.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -5.1 (+4.9) | 141.2 (-11.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -5.2 (+4.8) | 141.0 (-11.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -4.7 (+5.3) | 142.1 (-12.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | FAMU 72 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#328) | -16.8 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#281) | -1.44 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#279) | -2.12 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#265) | 0.466 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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