Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -250 FAMU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +15 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -3.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -2.8 (+12.2) | 139.7 (+27.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -3.7 (+11.3) | 140.5 (+26.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -3.3 (+11.7) | 138.9 (+28.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -3.2 (+11.8) | 137.4 (+29.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | FAMU 72 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#282) | -10.4 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#256) | -1.44 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#260) | -1.86 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.469 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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