Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -400 FAMU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -9.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -7.0 (-17.0) | 147.6 (-13.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -6.5 (-16.5) | 146.2 (-12.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -7.0 (-17.0) | 147.4 (-13.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -6.2 (-16.2) | 147.2 (-13.2) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#304) | -14.0 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#253) | -1.93 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#258) | -3.13 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#199) | 0.418 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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