Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | JKST +120 FAMU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -1.3 (+21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -0.2 (+20.2) | 146.4 (-6.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -0.6 (+20.6) | 143.5 (-3.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.1 (+19.9) | 144.8 (-4.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -0.1 (+20.1) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | FAMU 72 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-15 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -17.4 (#357) | -13.1 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#312) | -1.66 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#318) | -2.03 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#295) | 0.410 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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