Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +120 JKST -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -0.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -0.3 (+5.3) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -0.1 (+4.9) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.4 (+5.4) | 143.4 (+3.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -0.2 (+4.8) | 144.9 (+2.1) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | FAMU 72 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-3 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-13 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#333) | -7.4 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#286) | -1.23 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#290) | -1.59 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#268) | 0.466 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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