Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | SEA -2000 LAM +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +26 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -17.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -14.2 (+11.8) | 140.6 (-14.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -14.2 (+11.8) | 142.3 (-16.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -14.4 (+11.6) | 140.2 (-14.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -15.2 (+10.8) | 142.5 (-16.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 0-18 |
| Home | 17-2 | 2-11 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#129) | -12.5 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#101) | -4.58 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#106) | -5.82 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#109) | 0.333 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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