Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | KU -650 OU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | KU -10.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -10.4 (-8.4) | 140.8 (-0.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -9.9 (-7.9) | 148.4 (-8.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -10.3 (-8.3) | 147.7 (-7.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -11.3 (-9.3) | 144.1 (-4.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | KU 67 – 57 OU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | KU 78 – 66 OU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | KU 78 – 55 OU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | KU 79 – 75 OU |
| Jan 19, 2022 | KU 67 – 64 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 19-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 18.9 (#6) | 11.4 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#6) | 1.87 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.43 (#4) | 2.65 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.666 (#2) | 0.555 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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