Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -3.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -1.4 (-1.6) | 139.4 (-8.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -2.2 (-0.8) | 144.3 (-13.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -1.8 (-1.2) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.0 (-1.0) | 144.0 (-13.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | KU 67 – 57 OU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | KU 78 – 66 OU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | KU 78 – 55 OU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | KU 79 – 75 OU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | KU 71 – 69 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-6 | 19-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#33) | 18.5 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#47) | 3.50 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#38) | 4.89 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#59) | 0.684 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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