Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | KU -275 OU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | KU -3.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.4 (+7.6) | 143.3 (+0.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.7 (+7.3) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.4 (+7.6) | 142.0 (+2.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.1 (+6.9) | 144.1 (-0.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | KU 67 – 57 OU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | KU 78 – 55 OU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | KU 79 – 75 OU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | KU 71 – 69 OU |
| Jan 19, 2022 | KU 67 – 64 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#23) | 13.6 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.25 (#5) | 2.54 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#8) | 3.23 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.660 (#6) | 0.589 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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