You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Oklahoma Sooners
55 – 78
FINAL Conference
Kansas Jayhawks
Big 12 Conference · Lloyd Noble Center · February 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money OU +115 / KU -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual KU +23 133 Lost
Massey KU -3.2 (-19.8) — —
Massey Totals — 140.3 (-7.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 23% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 28% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KU -2.5 (-20.5) 142.3 (-9.3) 33% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KU -2.3 (-20.7) 144.8 (-11.8) 40% ✓
Baseline ML KU -2.1 (-20.9) 144.8 (-11.8) 42% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KU -2.1 (-20.9) 144.4 (-11.4) 43% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2024 KU 67 – 57 OU
Jan 13, 2024 KU 78 – 66 OU
Jan 11, 2023 KU 79 – 75 OU
Feb 12, 2022 KU 71 – 69 OU
Jan 19, 2022 KU 67 – 64 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU KU
Overall 15-17 28-8
Conference 5-13 13-5
Home 9-7 15-1
Away 2-8 7-4
Neutral 4-2 6-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.7 75.4
Avg Pts Against 67.5 68.1
Massey 8.6 (#62) 15.4 (#11)
Bradley-Terry 1.45 (#62) 3.32 (#4)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.18 (#50) 3.88 (#4)
RPI 0.548 (#92) 0.654 (#2)
Shooting & Four Factors OU KU
FG% 47.3% 46.2%
3PT% 35.3% 35.3%
REB / G 32.4 37.0
OREB / G 6.9 10.5
AST / TO 1.02 1.34
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 52.3%
TOV% 19.6% 17.7%
ORB% 23.2% 30.3%
FT Rate 20.6% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 20.2%
DRB% 72.8% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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