I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Oklahoma Sooners
55 78
FINAL Conference
Kansas Jayhawks
Big 12 Conference · Lloyd Noble Center · February 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money OU +115 / KU -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual KU +23 133 Lost
Massey KU -3.2 (-19.8)
Massey Totals 140.3 (-7.3)
Bradley-Terry 23%
Weighted B-T 28%
Efficiency Plus ML KU -2.5 (-20.5) 142.3 (-9.3) 33%
Baseline Tuned ML KU -2.3 (-20.7) 144.8 (-11.8) 40%
Baseline ML KU -2.1 (-20.9) 144.8 (-11.8) 42%
Baseline Plus ML KU -2.1 (-20.9) 144.4 (-11.4) 43%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2024 KU 6757 OU
Jan 13, 2024 KU 7866 OU
Jan 11, 2023 KU 7975 OU
Feb 12, 2022 KU 7169 OU
Jan 19, 2022 KU 6764 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU KU
Overall 15-17 28-8
Conference 5-13 13-5
Home 9-7 15-1
Away 2-8 7-4
Neutral 4-2 6-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.7 75.4
Avg Pts Against 67.5 68.1
Massey 8.6 (#62) 15.4 (#11)
Bradley-Terry 1.45 (#62) 3.32 (#4)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.18 (#50) 3.88 (#4)
RPI 0.548 (#92) 0.654 (#2)
Shooting & Four Factors OU KU
FG% 47.3% 46.2%
3PT% 35.3% 35.3%
REB / G 32.4 37.0
OREB / G 6.9 10.5
AST / TO 1.02 1.34
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 52.3%
TOV% 19.6% 17.7%
ORB% 23.2% 30.3%
FT Rate 20.6% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 20.2%
DRB% 72.8% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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