All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Kansas Jayhawks
79 75
FINAL Conference
Oklahoma Sooners
Big 12 Conference · Allen Fieldhouse · January 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KU -10.5 Away covered
O/U 134.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +4 154 Won
Massey KU -11.9 (-7.9)
Massey Totals 135.8 (+18.2)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML KU -10.5 (-6.5) 134.2 (+19.8) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML KU -10.9 (-6.9) 138.2 (+15.8) 84%
Baseline ML KU -10.5 (-6.5) 137.3 (+16.7) 84%
Baseline Plus ML KU -10.2 (-6.2) 135.4 (+18.6) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2024 KU 6757 OU
Jan 13, 2024 KU 7866 OU
Feb 11, 2023 KU 7855 OU
Feb 12, 2022 KU 7169 OU
Jan 19, 2022 KU 6764 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU OU
Overall 28-8 15-17
Conference 13-5 5-13
Home 15-1 9-7
Away 7-4 2-8
Neutral 6-3 4-2
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 67.7
Avg Pts Against 68.1 67.5
Massey 17.4 (#5) 9.7 (#48)
Bradley-Terry 4.19 (#1) 1.63 (#59)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.01 (#2) 2.56 (#39)
RPI 0.686 (#1) 0.572 (#63)
Shooting & Four Factors KU OU
FG% 47.8% 49.2%
3PT% 38.2% 38.2%
REB / G 38.1 31.7
OREB / G 11.0 6.3
AST / TO 1.45 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.5% 56.2%
TOV% 17.7% 19.7%
ORB% 32.0% 22.4%
FT Rate 17.2% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.8% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 22.0% 16.8%
DRB% 72.0% 76.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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