Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | SEMO +650 BEL -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +9 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -14.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -11.9 (+2.9) | 152.1 (+0.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -11.4 (+2.4) | 155.4 (-2.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -11.1 (+2.1) | 156.2 (-3.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.9 (+3.9) | 154.9 (-1.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2022 | BEL 102 – 62 SEMO |
| Jan 8, 2021 | BEL 77 – 66 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#282) | 10.4 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#288) | 2.04 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#289) | 2.22 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#262) | 0.595 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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