Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -21.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -10000 SEMO +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +40 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -23.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -18.8 (+21.2) | 160.6 (+3.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -17.4 (+22.6) | 160.2 (+3.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -20.5 (+19.5) | 160.1 (+3.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -18.2 (+21.8) | 159.2 (+4.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | BEL 81 – 72 SEMO |
| Jan 8, 2021 | BEL 77 – 66 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#38) | -8.3 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#29) | -1.35 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#27) | -2.02 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#15) | 0.435 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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