Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | BEL -1600 SEMO +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -15.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -11.8 (-0.8) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -14.0 (-3.0) | 146.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -14.3 (-3.3) | 147.0 (-4.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -14.3 (-3.3) | 148.2 (-5.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | BEL 81 – 72 SEMO |
| Jan 7, 2022 | BEL 102 – 62 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 10-2 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#101) | -7.3 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#79) | -1.91 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#113) | -2.31 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#148) | 0.324 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 81.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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