Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -350 RID +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +9 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -10.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -8.9 (-17.9) | 132.0 (-25.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -8.5 (-17.5) | 133.1 (-26.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -8.8 (-17.8) | 134.0 (-27.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -8.6 (-17.6) | 135.2 (-28.2) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#152) | -6.4 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#162) | -1.08 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#145) | -1.33 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#103) | 0.441 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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