Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | RID +100 SPU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -1.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.1 (+2.9) | 126.8 (+4.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -1.5 (+4.5) | 126.0 (+5.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -1.2 (+4.2) | 124.0 (+7.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -0.8 (+3.8) | 125.2 (+5.8) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
| Mar 8, 2024 | RID 61 – 56 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-6 |
| Away | 8-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#317) | -5.3 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#294) | -0.95 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#304) | -1.34 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#298) | 0.453 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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