Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | SPU -190 RID +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -5.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -3.5 (-2.5) | 127.9 (+3.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -3.1 (-2.1) | 126.2 (+4.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -3.5 (-2.5) | 127.9 (+3.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -2.7 (-1.7) | 129.6 (+1.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
| Mar 8, 2024 | RID 61 – 56 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#276) | -9.3 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#294) | -1.23 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#291) | -1.79 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#301) | 0.442 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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