Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | RID +275 SPU -345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -8.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -8.1 (+11.1) | 130.8 (+28.2) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -8.6 (+11.6) | 133.7 (+25.3) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -8.2 (+11.2) | 132.7 (+26.3) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -7.8 (+10.8) | 133.5 (+25.5) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
| Mar 8, 2024 | RID 61 – 56 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-25 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-9 | 13-1 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -15.6 (#351) | -4.3 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.88 (#363) | -0.07 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.86 (#362) | -0.37 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#351) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.