Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -700 RID +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -13.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -10.8 (+0.2) | 131.2 (-4.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -9.9 (+1.1) | 133.7 (-6.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -10.4 (+0.6) | 131.9 (-4.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -11.2 (-0.2) | 132.3 (-5.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
| Mar 8, 2024 | RID 61 – 56 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 4-25 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-1 | 4-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#233) | -14.6 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#185) | -3.52 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#203) | -4.48 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#167) | 0.401 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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