Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | RID +100 SPU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +2 | 98 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -1.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-32.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -0.5 (-1.5) | 131.5 (-33.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -0.2 (-1.8) | 128.7 (-30.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -0.7 (-1.3) | 130.3 (-32.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -0.9 (-1.1) | 129.3 (-31.3) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | RID 61 – 56 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#220) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#234) | -0.51 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#236) | -0.65 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#186) | 0.494 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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