Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | RID -110 SPU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +5 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | RID -1.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.6 (+4.4) | 134.0 (-17.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -1.3 (+3.7) | 131.1 (-14.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.2 (+3.8) | 133.1 (-16.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -1.3 (+3.7) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#225) | -1.1 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#245) | -0.35 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#251) | -0.45 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#195) | 0.505 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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