Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | SAC +270 SUU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +26 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -7.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -6.9 (-19.1) | 143.4 (-3.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -7.8 (-18.2) | 141.2 (-1.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -7.2 (-18.8) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -6.8 (-19.2) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | SUU 91 – 87 SAC |
| Dec 31, 2021 | SUU 64 – 51 SAC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | SUU 77 – 57 SAC |
| Feb 19, 2021 | SUU 88 – 69 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#328) | -1.5 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#329) | 0.17 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#317) | 0.04 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#332) | 0.513 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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