Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -333 SAC +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -7.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -7.3 (+12.7) | 150.7 (-16.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -7.6 (+12.4) | 144.4 (-10.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -6.4 (+13.6) | 149.1 (-15.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -6.6 (+13.4) | 150.0 (-16.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | SUU 91 – 87 SAC |
| Feb 12, 2022 | SUU 83 – 57 SAC |
| Dec 31, 2021 | SUU 64 – 51 SAC |
| Feb 19, 2021 | SUU 88 – 69 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 8-12 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 5-9 |
| Home | 14-0 | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#176) | -5.5 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#129) | -1.33 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#148) | -1.91 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#96) | 0.466 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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