Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +13 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -15.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -11.2 (+1.8) | 144.8 (-29.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -12.8 (+0.2) | 143.3 (-28.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -11.5 (+1.5) | 142.6 (-27.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -11.7 (+1.3) | 142.1 (-27.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | SUU 91 – 87 SAC |
| Feb 12, 2022 | SUU 83 – 57 SAC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | SUU 77 – 57 SAC |
| Feb 19, 2021 | SUU 88 – 69 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#135) | -9.5 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#90) | -1.22 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#99) | -1.53 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#67) | 0.467 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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