Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -250 SAC +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -5.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -6.3 (+12.7) | 152.7 (+4.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -5.7 (+13.3) | 147.4 (+9.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -4.6 (+14.4) | 150.3 (+6.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -4.5 (+14.5) | 151.2 (+5.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | SUU 91 – 87 SAC |
| Feb 12, 2022 | SUU 83 – 57 SAC |
| Dec 31, 2021 | SUU 64 – 51 SAC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | SUU 77 – 57 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 8-12 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 5-9 |
| Home | 14-0 | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#191) | -4.3 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#136) | -1.25 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#152) | -1.81 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#113) | 0.456 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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