Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +200 SUU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +4 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -0.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -1.2 (-5.2) | 139.2 (+38.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -1.5 (-2.5) | 138.4 (+39.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -1.0 (-5.0) | 142.1 (+35.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -1.4 (-5.4) | 142.1 (+35.9) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | SUU 83 – 57 SAC |
| Dec 31, 2021 | SUU 64 – 51 SAC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | SUU 77 – 57 SAC |
| Feb 19, 2021 | SUU 88 – 69 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#170) | 1.1 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#115) | -1.40 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#125) | -2.29 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#96) | 0.483 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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