Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | AKR -145 KENT +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -3.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -2.7 (-4.7) | 130.9 (-0.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -2.7 (-4.7) | 133.8 (-3.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -2.3 (-4.3) | 133.7 (-3.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -2.1 (-4.1) | 132.4 (-2.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | AKR 75 – 68 KENT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Jan 30, 2026 | AKR 69 – 52 KENT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AKR 77 – 72 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 16-4 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#149) | 0.0 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#122) | 0.20 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#131) | 0.28 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#111) | 0.515 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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