Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -625 KENT +455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +17 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -13.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 181.8 (-60.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -11.4 (+5.6) | 164.0 (-43.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -12.3 (+4.7) | 163.9 (-42.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -11.8 (+5.2) | 165.4 (-44.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -12.2 (+4.8) | 168.0 (-47.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | AKR 75 – 68 KENT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AKR 77 – 72 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
| Mar 16, 2024 | AKR 62 – 61 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 82.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#54) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#57) | 1.20 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#64) | 1.31 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#48) | 0.575 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.8% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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