Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -170 KENT +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -4.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -4.1 (+0.9) | 151.6 (-2.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -3.1 (+1.9) | 151.2 (-2.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -3.9 (+1.1) | 151.8 (-2.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -3.7 (+1.3) | 152.7 (-3.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | AKR 75 – 68 KENT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Jan 30, 2026 | AKR 69 – 52 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
| Mar 16, 2024 | AKR 62 – 61 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#106) | 2.8 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#87) | 0.62 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#100) | 0.48 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#39) | 0.550 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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