Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -298 KENT +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -9.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.9 (-27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -7.8 (-0.8) | 161.4 (-18.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -6.9 (+0.1) | 162.3 (-19.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -7.6 (-0.6) | 161.5 (-18.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -6.7 (+0.3) | 160.4 (-17.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Jan 30, 2026 | AKR 69 – 52 KENT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AKR 77 – 72 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
| Mar 16, 2024 | AKR 62 – 61 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 82.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#59) | 0.7 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#55) | 1.04 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#64) | 1.10 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#29) | 0.572 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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