Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -188 KENT +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -3.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -3.2 (-2.2) | 133.8 (-10.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -3.6 (-2.6) | 137.7 (-14.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -3.7 (-2.7) | 139.6 (-16.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -3.8 (-2.8) | 138.0 (-15.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | AKR 75 – 68 KENT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Jan 30, 2026 | AKR 69 – 52 KENT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AKR 77 – 72 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#109) | 0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#108) | -0.19 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#109) | -0.22 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#52) | 0.502 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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