Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -300 DART +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +45 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -7.2 (+37.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -5.7 (+39.3) | 141.6 (-16.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -5.9 (+39.1) | 145.9 (-20.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -6.2 (+38.8) | 145.7 (-20.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -7.0 (+38.0) | 145.2 (-20.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-5 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#146) | -3.1 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#120) | -1.50 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#132) | -1.42 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#144) | 0.435 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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