Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | ALCN -340 BCU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -9.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -6.7 (-14.7) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -7.6 (-15.6) | 136.0 (-2.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -7.5 (-15.5) | 134.9 (-0.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -7.3 (-15.3) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 9-13 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#260) | -11.7 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#263) | -2.37 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#258) | -2.95 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#221) | 0.374 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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