Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -1100 ALCN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -13.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -12.0 (-3.0) | 144.5 (+10.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -10.9 (-1.9) | 144.3 (+10.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -12.7 (-3.7) | 144.8 (+10.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -12.3 (-3.3) | 143.9 (+11.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ALCN 69 – 54 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-1 | 5-4 |
| Away | 7-11 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#282) | -17.4 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#220) | -1.92 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#237) | -2.48 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#205) | 0.400 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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