Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN +320 BCU -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +2 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -7.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-39.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -6.9 (+8.9) | 144.4 (-32.4) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -5.6 (+7.6) | 144.7 (-32.7) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -6.3 (+8.3) | 146.0 (-34.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -6.3 (+8.3) | 144.9 (-32.9) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ALCN 69 – 54 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-18 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#356) | -6.5 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#330) | -0.17 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#332) | -0.37 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#347) | 0.499 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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