Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -155 ALCN +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -3.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -2.5 (+6.5) | 132.2 (-3.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -1.3 (+7.7) | 132.4 (-3.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -2.8 (+6.2) | 132.6 (-3.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -2.6 (+6.4) | 132.3 (-3.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ALCN 69 – 54 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 7-12 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#281) | -10.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#237) | -1.74 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#259) | -2.14 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#217) | 0.460 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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