Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN -150 BCU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +15 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | ALCN -3.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-30.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -2.5 (+12.5) | 144.7 (-21.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -4.0 (+11.0) | 142.0 (-19.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -2.1 (+12.9) | 144.6 (-21.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -2.4 (+12.6) | 145.7 (-22.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-14 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#317) | -9.6 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#293) | -1.23 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#299) | -1.58 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#273) | 0.420 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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