Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -275 ALCN +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -7.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -4.2 (-8.2) | 134.8 (+17.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -3.6 (-7.6) | 135.6 (+16.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -3.8 (-7.8) | 133.5 (+18.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -4.7 (-8.7) | 134.3 (+17.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ALCN 69 – 54 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 7-12 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#264) | -10.4 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#235) | -1.74 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#236) | -1.94 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#234) | 0.425 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.