Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -10000 OMA +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -26.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -21.9 (-0.9) | 160.8 (-17.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -21.0 (+0.0) | 163.1 (-20.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -24.6 (-3.6) | 161.9 (-18.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -24.2 (-3.2) | 161.4 (-18.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 SDST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SDST 84 – 69 OMA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDST 98 – 85 OMA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OMA 87 – 80 SDST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SDST 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-0 | 5-9 |
| Away | 10-3 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 84.4 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#69) | -15.5 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#60) | -2.71 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#71) | -3.56 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#41) | 0.394 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 44.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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